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YorkNine Journal Market Update for August 3 2026

By Avi Samaroo and Quan Ve ·

Ontario housing starts look set to rise over the next two years. Low-rise sales in the GTA remain strong as of June 2026.

Today's Ontario Real Estate Headlines

The outlook for the Ontario housing market is looking more positive compared to other provinces. According to CMHC data reported on July 30, 2026, the province is expected to see a rise in housing starts between 2026 and 2028. This growth suggests more inventory could enter the market in the coming years. Meanwhile, the BILD report from July 30, 2026, notes that GTA low-rise home sales have exceeded historic averages for 3 consecutive months as of June. This consistent performance highlights sustained buyer interest in that segment. On the development side, a project known as Manderley in Toronto has recently entered receivership as of July 30, 2026. This process means the project is now under court-supervised financial management.

Interest Rates and Mortgage Costs

There is no confirmed news regarding current interest rates or mortgage costs for today, August 3, 2026. Verified research for this date does not include specific data on the Bank of Canada overnight rate, current prime rates, or available mortgage products. We continue to monitor official channels for any updates on lending conditions that might impact your financing decisions. Until verified information becomes available, it is best to consult with your mortgage broker to get the most accurate figures for your specific financial situation.

Government and Policy Changes

TRREB has provided information regarding the Canada-Ontario DC Reduction Program. This policy serves as a tool for local municipalities to decrease development charges on new builds. By participating in this program, these municipalities can access specific provincial funding to help cover the resulting impact on their budgets. The goal of this policy is to encourage the development of more housing across the province by reducing the upfront financial burden on builders. This initiative is currently active as of August 3, 2026, and represents a significant effort to align municipal and provincial interests in expanding housing supply.

Market Numbers Across the GTA

The latest market data for the GTA reflects activity recorded in June 2026. The figures show a clear trend in transaction volume and available supply.

  • Total home sales reached 6,770 units. This is a 9.4% increase compared to the same period last year.
  • Total new listings sat at 17,282. This represents a 12.9% decrease in new supply year-over-year.

The rise in sales volume combined with a drop in new listings indicates a tightening of market conditions as of June 2026. This data helps explain the ongoing competitive nature of the GTA market for those currently looking to buy or sell.

What Is Happening Locally

Developers are shifting their focus toward rental housing in several key areas. Minto Communities has moved its strategy for the Grand Park Village proposal in Mimico to focus on purpose-built rentals for its five-tower plan. This pivot reflects a broader trend of prioritizing long-term rental stock in well-connected neighbourhoods. Additionally, a new proposal was introduced for a 45-storey rental tower located at 525 Eglinton Avenue East. This site is situated near the Leaside Station, emphasizing the importance of transit-oriented development. These updates are current as of August 3, 2026, and show how local developers are adapting their plans to meet demand for rental housing near major infrastructure.

What This Means If You Are Buying or Selling

The current data suggests a market where demand remains steady while new inventory faces challenges. For buyers, the fact that sales are up while new listings are down means competition for homes remains high. You should be prepared to act decisively and have your financing fully approved before making an offer. For sellers, the tighter inventory levels could be an advantage, provided your home is priced accurately for the current climate. Understanding that housing starts are projected to grow in the coming years is useful for those looking at long-term investments. Keep a close watch on how municipal development charge reductions might influence new build pricing in your area. As always, reach out to discuss your specific goals based on these trends.

Sources We Read Today

  • TRREB
  • STOREYS
  • CMHC

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